Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
26'⚽+24 RAY
Suárez opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
RAY win prob 56% → 80%
45+4'⚽+15 RAY
Frutos adds another
Rayo Vallecano extend the lead to 2–0.
↳assist Villar
RAY win prob 80% → 95%
57'⚽−15 RAY
Marín pulls one back
Numancia back in it at 2–1.
↳assist Sánchez
RAY win prob 96% → 82%
64'+6 RAY
Marín sees red
Numancia down to ten men.
RAY win prob 83% → 89%
66'⚽+10 RAY
Villar adds another
Rayo Vallecano extend the lead to 3–1.
RAY win prob 89% → 99%
72'⚽−9 RAY
Sánchez pulls one back
Numancia back in it at 3–2.
↳assist Calero
RAY win prob 99% → 90%
Key events
FT 3–2 · HT 2–0 · goals, cards and subs
⚽26'1–0
Mario Suárez
Goal · penalty
28'
Yacine Qasmi
Yellow card
⚽45'+42–0
Jorge de Frutos
Goal · assist Juan Villar
HTHalf-time · Rayo Vallecano lead 2–0
53'
Alberto Escassi
Yellow card
53'
Erik Morán
Yellow card
56'
Santi Comesaña
On for Álvaro García
56'
Andrés Martín
On for Yacine Qasmi
⚽57'2–1
Higinio Marín
Goal · assist Nacho Sánchez
57'
Santi Comesaña
Yellow card
58'
I. Zlatanović
On for Alberto Noguera
64'
Higinio Marín
Red card · sent off
⚽66'3–1
Juan Villar
Goal · penalty
⚽72'3–2
Curro Sánchez
Goal · assist Iván Calero
78'
Andrés Martín
Yellow card
80'
M. Sanhaji
On for Erik Morán
83'
Isi Palazón
On for Jorge de Frutos
85'
Adri Herrera
On for Bernardo Cruz
90'
Joni Montiel
On for Juan Villar
90'+5
Curro Sánchez
Yellow card
90'+5
Nacho Sánchez
Yellow card
FTFull-time · Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Numancia
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
Saúl García6.4
Mario Suárez7.2
SuárezAlejandro Catena6.8
CatenaSanti Comesaña6.0
Andrés Martín6.9
MartínIsi Palazón6.8
Jorge de Frutos8.0
FrutosStole Dimitrievski6.2
Yacine Qasmi6.5
Juan Villar8.6
VillarLuis Advíncula6.6
Álvaro García7.0
GarcíaEmiliano Velázquez6.5
Óscar Valentín6.6
Joni Montiel-
Adrián Castellano6.8
Admonio Vicente6.5
Alberto Escassi6.4
Erik Morán6.8
Higinio Marín6.8
Nacho Sánchez6.7
Dani Barrio6.1
Alberto Noguera6.2
Bernardo Cruz6.4
Iván Calero6.4
Igor Zlatanovic6.7
Curro Sánchez8.0
SánchezMoha Sanhaji6.7
Adri Herrera6.6
Rayo VallecanoNumancia
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