The Impact of Victor Osimhen on Galatasaray: How Significant is the Difference?

Victor Osimhen's importance to Galatasaray goes beyond just his goal tally. The difference in results between matches he played and those he didn't clearly illustrates his role in the team's attacking structure.

However, this data does not mean that "if Osimhen is playing, Galatasaray will definitely win." The level of the opponent, the context of the match, and the intensity of the schedule vary. Yet, the figures spanning two seasons reveal that the difference is too significant to be dismissed as coincidence.

The points average increased in the 2025/26 season.

In the 2025/26 Süper Lig season, Galatasaray achieved 17 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the 22 matches Osimhen played. The team's points average rose to 2.45, scoring 55 goals and conceding 18.

In the 12 league matches without Osimhen, the yellow-reds managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their points average dropped to 1.92, with the team scoring 22 goals and conceding 12.

In other words, Galatasaray produced an average of 2.50 goals per match when Osimhen was on the field. In matches he did not play, the goal average remained at 1.83.

The early season picture is even more stark.

In the first part of the 2026/27 season, the difference became even more apparent.

In the four matches where Osimhen started, Galatasaray recorded 3 wins and 1 draw. The yellow-reds scored 12 goals and conceded 6, achieving a points average of 2.50.

In the three matches without Osimhen, the team could only secure one win and suffered two defeats. In these matches, the goal difference fell to 2-7, and the points average remained at 1.00.

Osimhen is not just a finisher.

The 27-year-old striker has produced 6 goals and 2 assists in 4 matches this season in the Süper Lig. With 8 direct contributions to the score in 303 minutes, Osimhen ranks in the top 1% of his position with an average rating of 8.01.

He leads all Süper Lig strikers in averages of 1.78 goals per 90 minutes, 1.28 expected goals, 10.40 shots, and 4.75 shots on target.

This production does not only reflect his finishing ability. His runs into the penalty area and dominance in aerial duels force opposing defenses to play deeper and more compact. This effect also creates space for other attacking players in Galatasaray's squad.

A sign from Europe.

In the 2025/26 Champions League, Galatasaray recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the 10 matches Osimhen played. In the two matches he did not play, the team did not secure any victories, scoring 1 goal and conceding 6.

This alone is not proof of causality. However, it strongly indicates how much Galatasaray needs Osimhen's physical strength, threat in the penalty area, and finishing ability, especially in high-level matches.

Is Osimhen's impact a warning sign of dependency, or is it simply the natural difference of an elite striker? This question will become increasingly important as the season progresses.

Check out Victor Osimhen's current player stats on StatsLook:

https://statslook.com/tr/players/victor-osimhen/455805/overview