Rotherham United vs Cardiff City — Championship
AESSEAL New York Stadium, RotherhamAndy Davies
Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
25'⚽+14 RTU
Hugill opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
↳assist Bramall
RTU win prob 75% → 89%
38'⚽−18 RTU
Phillips levels
All square again at 1–1.
↳assist Tanner
RTU win prob 88% → 70%
45+2'⚽+20 RTU
Eaves puts them ahead
Rotherham United in front at 2–1.
↳assist Bramall
RTU win prob 67% → 88%
47'⚽−21 RTU
Tanner levels
All square again at 2–2.
↳assist Ashford
RTU win prob 87% → 66%
57'⚽+27 RTU
Eaves wins it
2nd goal
The decisive goal — 3–2.
↳assist Ashford
RTU win prob 60% → 87%
63'⚽+11 RTU
Nombe adds another
Rotherham United extend the lead to 4–2.
↳assist Peltier
RTU win prob 87% → 98%
69'⚽+2 RTU
Hugill adds another
2nd goal
Rotherham United extend the lead to 5–2.
↳assist Peltier
RTU win prob 98% → 100%
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
Rotherham UnitedCardiff City
⚽ Hugill
⚽ Phillips
⚽ Eaves
⚽ Tanner
⚽ Eaves
⚽ Nombe
⚽ Hugill
HT
15'30'45'45+460'75'90'90+5
25'⚽ Hugill38'⚽ Phillips45+2'⚽ Eaves47'⚽ Tanner57'⚽ Eaves63'⚽ Nombe69'⚽ Hugill
Key events
FT 5–2 · HT 2–1 · goals, cards and subs
⚽25'1–0
Jordan Hugill
Goal · assist Cohen Bramall
⚽38'1–1
N. Phillips
Goal · assist O. Tanner
⚽45'+22–1
Tom Eaves
Goal · assist Cohen Bramall
HTHalf-time · Rotherham United lead 2–1
⚽47'2–2
O. Tanner
Goal · assist C. Ashford
⚽57'3–2
Tom Eaves
Goal · penalty
58'
R. Conte
On for M. Romeo
60'
Arvin Appiah
Yellow card
⚽63'4–2
Sam Nombe
Goal · assist Lee Peltier
⚽69'5–2
Jordan Hugill
Goal · assist Lee Peltier
76'
Grant Hall
On for Lee Peltier
76'
Femi Seriki
On for Arvin Appiah
77'
R. Colwill
On for D. Turnbull
77'
Callum O'Dowda
On for O. Tanner
85'
J. Colwill
On for Manolis Siopis
89'
M. McGuinness
On for N. Phillips
90'+2
B. Hatton
On for Sebastian Revan
90'+2
Viktor Johansson
On for Sam Nombe
90'+2
Shane Ferguson
On for Dillon Phillips
FTFull-time · Rotherham United 5–2 Cardiff City
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
David Turnbull6.7
Ollie Tanner8.1
TannerEthan Horvath6.0
Arvin Appiah6.4
Cameron Humphreys7.3
Sebastian Revan6.4
Oliver Rathbone7.1
Jordan Hugill8.5
HugillNat Phillips7.0
Famara Diédhiou6.7
Dillon Phillips7.0
Lee Peltier6.7
Cohen Bramall8.2
BramallHakeem Odoffin7.7
OdoffinTom Eaves8.7
EavesMahlon Romeo6.4
Dimitrios Goutas6.1
Manolis Siopis7.3
SiopisJosh Bowler6.6
Cian Ashford7.3
AshfordBen Hatton-
Shane Ferguson-
Femi Seriki7.7
Grant Hall6.8
Viktor Johansson-
Mark McGuinness-
Ryan Wintle7.3
Callum O'Dowda6.7
Rubin Colwill6.6
Joel Colwill6.4
Sam Nombe6.7
Raheem Conte6.7
Rotherham UnitedCardiff City
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