Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
15'⚽+22 EPF
Marqués opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
EPF win prob 29% → 51%
68'⚽−47 EPF
Winck levels
All square again at 1–1.
EPF win prob 69% → 21%
71'+5 EPF
China sees red
Marítimo down to ten men.
EPF win prob 20% → 25%
73'+5 EPF
Santos sees red
Marítimo down to ten men.
EPF win prob 24% → 29%
80'⚽+71 EPF
Joãozinho wins it
The decisive goal — 2–1.
↳assist Santos
EPF win prob 20% → 91%
83'⚽+7 EPF
Bamidele adds another
↑ off the bench
Estoril extend the lead to 3–1.
↳assist Gouveia
EPF win prob 93% → 100%
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
EstorilMarítimo
⚽ Marqués
⚽ Winck
⚽ Joãozinho
⚽ Bamidele
HT
15'30'45'60'75'90'90+2
15'⚽ Marqués68'⚽ Winck80'⚽ Joãozinho83'⚽ Bamidele
Key events
FT 3–1 · HT 1–0 · goals, cards and subs
9'
Rafael Brito
Yellow card
⚽15'1–0
Alejandro Marqués
Goal
43'
Edgar Costa
Yellow card
HTHalf-time · Estoril lead 1–0
46'
Diogo Mendes
On for Rafael Brito
56'
Rúben Marques
Yellow card
57'
Fábio China
Yellow card
61'
Alejandro Marqués
Yellow card
66'
João Gamboa
Yellow card
67'
Félix Correia
On for Rúben Marques
⚽68'1–1
Cláudio Winck
Goal · penalty
68'
André Vidigal
On for Edgar Costa
69'
João Carlos
On for Alejandro Marqués
71'
Fábio China
Second yellow · sent off
73'
Renê Santos
Red card · sent off
75'
Yusuf Bamidele
On for Rodrigo Martins
75'
Francisco Geraldes
On for João Gamboa
79'
Moises Mosquera
On for Jesús Ramírez
⚽80'2–1
Joãozinho
Goal · assist Tiago Santos
⚽83'3–1
Yusuf Bamidele
Goal · assist Tiago Gouveia
88'
Carlos Eduardo
On for Rafik Guitane
88'
João Marques
On for Tiago Gouveia
FTFull-time · Estoril 3–1 Marítimo
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
Lucas Áfrico6.8
João Gamboa6.3
Rodrigo Martins6.6
Alejandro Marqués6.7
MarquésChico Geraldes6.6
João Carvalho7.5
Tiago Gouveia7.8
GouveiaPedro Álvaro6.7
Rafik Guitane7.3
Carlos Eduardo-
Joãozinho7.5
João Marques-
João Carlos6.8
Tiago Santos7.5
SantosBamidele Yusuf7.5
Dani Figueira7.0
FigueiraCláudio Winck7.5
WinckMoisés Mosquera6.4
Matheus Costa6.8
Rafael Brito6.7
BritoAndré Vidigal6.8
Val Soares6.7
Jesús Ramírez7.1
Edgar Costa7.1
CostaRenê Santos6.4
Diogo Mendes6.8
Félix Correia7.0
Brayan Riascos6.7
Giorgi Makaridze6.0
Fábio China6.4
Rúben Marques6.6
EstorilMarítimo
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