Vicarage Road, WatfordMatt Donohue
Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
12'⚽+28 WAT
Bravo opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
WAT win prob 12% → 40%
29'⚽+31 WAT
Nabizada adds another
Watford extend the lead to 2–0.
WAT win prob 46% → 77%
56'⚽−29 WAT
Larin pulls one back
Southampton back in it at 2–1.
↳assist Bragg
WAT win prob 90% → 61%
xG race
Cumulative expected goals, shot by shot
1.24
Watford
1.56
Southampton
Team statistics
Full-match numbers, side by side
34%Ball Possession66%
1.24Expected Goals (xG)1.56
16Total Shots17
4Shots On Target3
1Big Chances3
78%Pass Accuracy %88%
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
WatfordSouthampton
⚽ Bravo
⚽ Nabizada
⚽ Larin
HT
15'30'45'45+560'75'90'90+5
12'⚽ Bravo29'⚽ Nabizada56'⚽ Larin
Key events
FT 2–1 · HT 2–0 · goals, cards and subs
8'
Hector Kyprianou
Yellow card
⚽12'1–0
Iker Bravo
Goal
13'
Mattie Pollock
Yellow card
14'
Cyle Larin
Yellow card
18'
James Bree
Yellow card
24'
Jordan Zemura
On for Marc Bola
⚽29'2–0
Amin Nabizada
Goal
43'
Amin Nabizada
Yellow card
HTHalf-time · Watford lead 2–0
⚽56'2–1
Cyle Larin
Goal · assist Cameron Bragg
57'
Finn Azaz
On for Lewis Dobbin
61'
Edo Kayembe
On for Edoardo Bove
61'
Martín Payero
On for Iker Bravo
61'
Michael Adu-Poku
On for Amin Nabizada
70'
Samuel Edozie
On for Cameron Bragg
70'
Divin Mubama
On for Cyle Larin
72'
Mamadou Doumbia
Yellow card
74'
Flynn Downes
Yellow card
74'
Othmane Maamma
Yellow card
77'
Rocco Vata
On for Othmane Maamma
84'
Martín Payero
Yellow card
89'
Ben Brereton Díaz
On for Kuryu Matsuki
FTFull-time · Watford 2–1 Southampton
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
Cameron Bragg7.2
BraggKuryu Matsuki6.9
Divin Mubama6.5
Edoardo Bove6.7
Edo Kayembe6.4
Daniel Peretz6.4
Ryan Manning7.6
ManningIker Bravo7.2
BravoBen Brereton Díaz-
Samuel Edozie6.7
Federico Ravaglia7.1
Kévin Keben7.0
Hector Kyprianou7.1
KyprianouMattie Pollock7.1
PollockOthmane Maamma6.9
Rocco Vata6.7
Marc Bola6.6
Mamadou Doumbia6.6
Amin Nabizada7.0
Martín Payero6.3
Omar Traoré6.8
Jordan Zemura6.5
Michael Adu-Poku6.7
Flynn Downes6.9
Jack Stephens6.1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis7.2
Harwood-BellisLéo Scienza6.9
Cyle Larin7.3
LarinFinn Azaz6.8
Lewis Dobbin6.2
James Bree6.5
WatfordSouthampton
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