St. Mary's Stadium, SouthamptonAdam Herczeg
Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
15'⚽−22 SOU
Sykes opens it
First goal of the match — 0–1.
SOU win prob 36% → 15%
25'⚽+22 SOU
Larin levels
All square again at 1–1.
↳assist Manning
SOU win prob 13% → 35%
38'⚽+37 SOU
Azaz wins it
The decisive goal — 2–1.
↳assist Scienza
SOU win prob 32% → 69%
55'⚽+21 SOU
Scienza adds another
Southampton extend the lead to 3–1.
SOU win prob 74% → 94%
62'⚽+4 SOU
Larin adds another
2nd goal
Southampton extend the lead to 4–1.
↳assist Azaz
SOU win prob 96% → 99%
86'⚽+0 SOU
Fellows adds another
↑ off the bench
Southampton extend the lead to 5–1.
SOU win prob 100% → 100%
xG race
Cumulative expected goals, shot by shot
3.32
Southampton
1.72
Millwall
Team statistics
Full-match numbers, side by side
53%Ball Possession47%
3.32Expected Goals (xG)1.72
21Total Shots15
7Shots On Target5
6Big Chances2
87%Pass Accuracy %81%
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
SouthamptonMillwall
⚽ Sykes
⚽ Larin
⚽ Azaz
⚽ Scienza
⚽ Larin
⚽ Fellows
HT
15'30'45'45+360'75'90'90+5
15'⚽ Sykes25'⚽ Larin38'⚽ Azaz55'⚽ Scienza62'⚽ Larin86'⚽ Fellows
Key events
FT 5–1 · HT 2–1 · goals, cards and subs
4'
Ryan Manning
Yellow card
10'
Mark Sykes
Yellow card
⚽15'0–1
Mark Sykes
Goal
⚽25'1–1
Cyle Larin
Goal · assist Ryan Manning
⚽38'2–1
Finn Azaz
Goal · assist Léo Scienza
HTHalf-time · Southampton lead 2–1
46'
James Ward-Prowse
On for Flynn Downes
⚽55'3–1
Léo Scienza
Goal · penalty
61'
Luke Cundle
On for Kyrell Lisbie
⚽62'4–1
Cyle Larin
Goal · assist Finn Azaz
70'
Divin Mubama
On for Cyle Larin
71'
Elkan Baggott
On for Zak Sturge
71'
Tom Fellows
On for Léo Scienza
71'
Daniel Kelly
On for Taïryk Arconte
79'
Zak Lovelace
On for Jenson Metcalfe
80'
Lyndon Dykes
On for Josh Coburn
81'
Lewis Dobbin
On for Kuryu Matsuki
⚽86'5–1
Tom Fellows
Goal
87'
Tom Fellows
Yellow card
87'
Jack Stephens
On for Keven Schlotterbeck
FTFull-time · Southampton 5–1 Millwall
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
Max Crocombe5.7
Daniel Kelly6.5
Mark Sykes6.8
SykesJosh Coburn7.1
Kyrell Lisbie6.4
Casper De Norre6.1
Luke Cundle6.0
Zak Lovelace6.8
LovelaceZak Sturge5.8
Jake Cooper6.0
Caleb Taylor6.2
Taïryk Arconte6.5
Camiel Neghli6.8
Elkan Baggott6.3
Lyndon Dykes6.6
Jenson Metcalfe6.8
Jack Stephens-
Lewis Dobbin6.5
Léo Scienza8.3
ScienzaCyle Larin8.2
LarinFinn Azaz9.1
Keven Schlotterbeck7.1
James Bree7.0
Nathan Wood6.7
Tom Fellows7.2
FellowsCameron Bragg7.2
BraggKuryu Matsuki6.5
Divin Mubama6.0
Daniel Peretz7.1
PeretzRyan Manning7.1
Flynn Downes6.4
James Ward-Prowse6.8
SouthamptonMillwall
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