Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United — Major League Soccer
Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
11'⚽+26 POT
Janssen opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
POT win prob 44% → 70%
20'⚽+19 POT
Callender adds another
Portland Timbers extend the lead to 2–0.
↳assist Janssen
POT win prob 70% → 89%
26'⚽+8 POT
Janssen adds another
2nd goal
Portland Timbers extend the lead to 3–0.
↳assist Costa
POT win prob 90% → 97%
32'⚽−7 POT
Caldeira pulls one back
Minnesota United back in it at 3–1.
↳assist Pereyra
POT win prob 98% → 91%
37'⚽−19 POT
Jr. pulls one back
Minnesota United back in it at 3–2.
↳assist Yeboah
POT win prob 91% → 72%
50'⚽−40 POT
Caldeira levels
2nd goal
All square again at 3–3.
↳assist Pereyra
POT win prob 74% → 35%
55'⚽+43 POT
Janssen wins it
3rd goal
The decisive goal — 4–3.
↳assist Lassiter
POT win prob 33% → 76%
71'⚽+16 POT
Velde adds another
Portland Timbers extend the lead to 5–3.
↳assist Antony
POT win prob 82% → 98%
xG race
Cumulative expected goals, shot by shot
2.87
Portland Timbers
1.89
Minnesota United
Team statistics
Full-match numbers, side by side
49%Ball Possession51%
2.87Expected Goals (xG)1.89
11Total Shots17
5Shots On Target8
6Big Chances8
86%Pass Accuracy %87%
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
Portland TimbersMinnesota United
⚽ Janssen
⚽ Callender
⚽ Janssen
⚽ Caldeira
⚽ Jr.
⚽ Caldeira
⚽ Janssen
⚽ Velde
⚽ Chancalay
HT
15'30'45'45+860'75'90'90+7
11'⚽ Janssen20'⚽ Callender26'⚽ Janssen32'⚽ Caldeira37'⚽ Jr.50'⚽ Caldeira55'⚽ Janssen71'⚽ Velde90+1'⚽ Chancalay
Key events
FT 5–4 · HT 3–2 · goals, cards and subs
⚽11'1–0
Vincent Janssen
Goal · penalty
⚽20'2–0
Drake Callender
Own goal
23'
Michael Boxall
Yellow card
⚽26'3–0
Vincent Janssen
Goal · assist David Da Costa
⚽32'3–1
Marcus Caldeira
Goal · assist Joaquín Pereyra
36'
Joao Ortiz
On for José Luis Caicedo Barrera
⚽37'3–2
Anthony Markanich Jr.
Goal · assist Kelvin Yeboah
45'+7
Finn Surman
Yellow card
HTHalf-time · Portland Timbers lead 3–2
⚽50'3–3
Marcus Caldeira
Goal · assist Joaquín Pereyra
⚽55'4–3
Vincent Janssen
Goal · assist Ariel Lassiter
68'
Antony
On for Ariel Lassiter
68'
Diego Chará
On for Vincent Janssen
⚽71'5–3
Kristoffer Velde
Goal · assist Antony
72'
Tomás Chancalay
On for Marcus Caldeira
72'
Nectarios Triantis
On for Wil Trapp
74'
Jefferson Díaz
Yellow card
78'
Maurice Malone
On for Kelvin Yeboah
81'
Joel Waterman
On for Eric Miller
82'
Ian Smith
On for David Da Costa
88'
Mauricio Gonzalez
On for Anthony Markanich Jr.
88'
Carlos Harvey
On for Owen Gene
⚽90'+15–4
Tomás Chancalay
Goal · assist Carlos Harvey
90'+6
Morris Duggan
Yellow card
FTFull-time · Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
James Pantemis6.1
Eric Miller6.2
Finn Surman5.8
Kamal Miller5.7
Jimer Fory6.4
Cole Bassett7.3
José Luis Caicedo Barrera6.7
David Da Costa7.3
CostaAriel Lassiter7.0
LassiterKristoffer Velde7.7
Jefferson Díaz6.4
Michael Boxall6.1
Morris Duggan5.6
Anthony Markanich Jr.7.4
Kyle Duncan6.4
DuncanOwen Gene6.4
Wil Trapp6.4
Joaquín Pereyra7.3
PereyraKelvin Yeboah6.8
YeboahMarcus Caldeira8.2
CaldeiraVincent Janssen9.3
JanssenDrake Callender5.5
Joel Waterman6.2
Ian Smith6.2
Diego Chará6.6
Joao Ortiz6.6
Antony7.2
Mauricio Gonzalez-
Nectarios Triantis6.4
Carlos Harvey7.2
Tomás Chancalay7.2
Maurice Malone6.6
Portland TimbersMinnesota United
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