Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda — Europa Conference League
AIL Arena, LuganoFlorian Badstübner
Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
25'⚽+26 LUGA
Ajeti opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
↳assist Steffen
LUGA win prob 51% → 77%
32'⚽−28 LUGA
Elsnik levels
All square again at 1–1.
↳assist Gashtarov
LUGA win prob 78% → 49%
67'⚽−25 LUGA
Krunić puts them ahead
Crvena Zvezda in front at 1–2.
↳assist Cham
LUGA win prob 32% → 8%
84'⚽+11 LUGA
Moncada levels
↑ off the bench
All square again at 2–2.
↳assist Cimignani
LUGA win prob 1% → 12%
90'⚽+100 LUGA
Grgić wins it
The decisive goal — 3–2.
LUGA win prob 0% → 100%
xG race
Cumulative expected goals, shot by shot
2.08
Lugano
1.25
Crvena Zvezda
Top stats
Full-match numbers, side by side
41%Ball possession59%
2.08Expected goals (xG)1.25
2.94xG on target (xGOT)1.25
5 / 18Shots (on target / total)5 / 20
3 / 5Big chances (scored / total)0 / 2
14Touches in opposition box15
9Key passes18
330 (84%)Accurate passes494 (88%)
44 (49%)Duels won45 (51%)
48Recoveries48
5Corners3
2 / 0Cards (yellow / red)4 / 0
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
LuganoCrvena Zvezda
⚽ Ajeti
⚽ Elsnik
⚽ Krunić
⚽ Moncada
⚽ Grgić
1st Half
2nd Half
1'15'30'45'60'75'90'
25'⚽ Ajeti32'⚽ Elsnik67'⚽ Krunić84'⚽ Moncada90'⚽ Grgić
Key events
FT 3–2 · HT 1–1 · goals, cards and subs
⚽25'1–0
Albian Ajeti
Goal · assist Renato Steffen
⚽32'1–1
Timi Elsnik
Goal · assist Matej Gashtarov
33'
Vasilije Kostov
Yellow card
HTHalf-time · level at 1–1
53'
Renato Steffen
Yellow card
55'
Lars Lukas Mai
Yellow card
63'
Elias Pihlström
On for Renato Steffen
63'
Kevin Behrens
On for Albian Ajeti
63'
Muhammed Cham
On for Tomás Händel
⚽67'1–2
Rade Krunić
Goal · assist Muhammed Cham
73'
Dereck Moncada
On for Behruzjon Karimov
75'
Kristiyan Balov
On for Vladimir Lučić
75'
Matej Strika
On for Mihailo Ristić
80'
Ezgjan Alioski
On for Hannes Delcroix
80'
Beckham Castro
On for Daniel Dos Santos
81'
Mahmudu Bajo
On for Rade Krunić
81'
Marko Arnautović
On for Bamba Dieng
82'
Stefan Gudelj
Yellow card
⚽84'2–2
Dereck Moncada
Goal · assist Yanis Cimignani
88'
Mahmudu Bajo
Yellow card
⚽90'3–2
Anto Grgić
Goal · penalty
90'+4
Matej Gashtarov
Yellow card
FTFull-time · Lugano 3–2 Crvena Zvezda
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
David von Ballmoos6.7
Antonios Papadopoulos7.0
PapadopoulosLars Lukas Mai6.5
Hannes Delcroix6.3
Behruzjon Karimov6.4
Uran Bislimi7.3
BislimiAnto Grgić8.0
Yanis Cimignani6.9
Renato Steffen6.6
Daniel Dos Santos6.3
Albian Ajeti7.4
AjetiEzgjan Alioski6.5
Beckham Castro6.8
Elias Pihlström6.5
Dereck Moncada7.5
Kevin Behrens6.7
Matheus6.0
Vladimir Lučić7.0
LučićMatej Gashtarov7.3
Stefan Gudelj5.9
Yuta Nakayama6.5
Mihailo Ristić6.8
Timi Elsnik7.5
ElsnikTomás Händel6.6
Rade Krunić7.8
KrunićVasilije Kostov6.4
Bamba Dieng6.7
Mahmudu Bajo5.5
Marko Arnautović6.0
Kristiyan Balov6.0
Matej Strika5.8
Muhammed Cham7.3
ChamLuganoCrvena Zvezda
DEFENCE ↑ · ATTACK →