Bahia vs São Paulo — Serie A
Match story
Win-probability swings · in-play model
6'⚽+26 BAH
Nestor opens it
First goal of the match — 1–0.
↳assist Lucas
BAH win prob 44% → 70%
10'⚽+18 BAH
Pulga adds another
Bahia extend the lead to 2–0.
↳assist Victor
BAH win prob 70% → 88%
43'⚽−19 BAH
Moura pulls one back
São Paulo back in it at 2–1.
↳assist Calleri
BAH win prob 93% → 73%
45+5'⚽−38 BAH
Bobadilla levels
All square again at 2–2.
BAH win prob 74% → 35%
81'⚽+77 BAH
Victor wins it
The decisive goal — 3–2.
↳assist Erick
BAH win prob 13% → 90%
xG race
Cumulative expected goals, shot by shot
1.20
Bahia
1.21
São Paulo
Top stats
Full-match numbers, side by side
47%Ball possession53%
1.20Expected goals (xG)1.21
2.31xG on target (xGOT)1.20
4 / 13Shots (on target / total)6 / 14
2 / 4Big chances (scored / total)0 / 1
24Touches in opposition box24
9Key passes11
346 (80%)Accurate passes426 (85%)
57 (52%)Duels won53 (48%)
54Recoveries44
7Corners11
2 / 0Cards (yellow / red)4 / 0
Pressure index
Minute-by-minute momentum · home up · away down
BahiaSão Paulo
⚽ Nestor
⚽ Pulga
⚽ Moura
⚽ Bobadilla
⚽ Victor
1st Half
2nd Half
1'15'30'45'60'75'90'
6'⚽ Nestor10'⚽ Pulga43'⚽ Moura45+5'⚽ Bobadilla81'⚽ Victor
Key events
FT 3–2 · HT 2–2 · goals, cards and subs
0'
Yellow card
⚽6'1–0
Rodrigo Nestor
Goal · assist Jean Lucas
⚽10'2–0
Erick Pulga
Goal · assist Marcos Victor
⚽43'2–1
Lucas Moura
Goal · assist Jonathan Calleri
⚽45'+52–2
Damián Bobadilla
Goal
HTHalf-time · level at 2–2
56'
Ademir
On for Erick Pulga
56'
Erick
On for Nicolás Acevedo
56'
Éverton Ribeiro
On for Jean Lucas
69'
Marcos Victor
Yellow card
70'
Sabino
Yellow card
71'
Djhordney
On for Luciano
74'
Caio Alexandre
On for Rodrigo Nestor
⚽81'3–2
Marcos Victor
Goal · assist Erick
82'
Cauly Oliveira Souza
On for Damián Bobadilla
82'
Victor Sá
On for Wendell
82'
Danielzinho
On for Pablo Maia
83'
Gustavo Santana
On for Sabino
88'
Michel Araújo
On for Cristian Olivera
90'+1
Gustavo Santana
Yellow card
90'+2
Lucas Moura
Yellow card
90'+6
David Duarte
Yellow card
FTFull-time · Bahia 3–2 São Paulo
Impact map
Dot size = match rating · tap a dot for the full breakdown
SHIELDALL-ACTIONQUIET NIGHTSPEARHEAD
Ronaldo6.8
Cristian Olivera6.5
Marcos Victor8.8
VictorDavid Duarte6.7
Marco Moreno6.4
Luciano Juba6.5
Jean Lucas6.8
Nicolás Acevedo7.0
AcevedoRodrigo Nestor7.6
NestorAlejo Véliz6.9
Erick Pulga7.2
PulgaAdemir6.3
Caio Alexandre6.7
Éverton Ribeiro6.9
Erick7.1
ErickMichel Araújo6.4
Rafael5.5
Newton6.5
Robert Arboleda6.4
Sabino6.7
SabinoPedro Lima7.3
Damián Bobadilla7.5
Pablo Maia6.3
Wendell6.6
Luciano6.5
Lucas Moura7.2
Jonathan Calleri7.1
CalleriVictor Sá6.4
Gustavo Santana6.0
Djhordney6.7
Cauly Oliveira Souza6.1
Danielzinho6.4
BahiaSão Paulo
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