Can Manchester City Win the Premier League After Five Wins From Five?

Manchester City have won their first five Premier League matches of 2026/27 and sit top of the table with 15 points.

It is the kind of start that instantly invites a title question. But five wins from five has not always led to a Premier League trophy.

Across the previous 14 Premier League seasons in which a team opened with five straight wins, only four went on to become champions. That is a conversion rate of 29%.

The numbers become more revealing when the opening streak continues.

Chelsea began 2005/06 with nine consecutive wins, Liverpool won their first eight matches in 2019/20, while Chelsea in 2009/10 and Manchester City in 2023/24 both extended their starts to six. All four teams finished as champions.

By contrast, none of the previous seven teams whose winning run ended at exactly five matches won the title that season.

City have the points — and the underlying numbers

Manchester City’s start is not built on results alone.

They have scored 13 goals in five league matches, averaging 2.60 per game. Their 2.00 xG per 90 ranks third in the division, while they are also among the top three for shots on target and big chances.

City are controlling games, too: 63.2% possession, 89.2% passing accuracy and 560.6 accurate passes per 90 are all among the Premier League’s best figures.

Explore Manchester City’s full 2026/27 team data

Erling Haaland has supplied five of the team’s 13 league goals. His output has given City the margin that matters in a perfect start — turning a strong attacking platform into maximum points.

View Erling Haaland’s full player profile and season stats

There is still a warning in the data

City have conceded five times and are allowing 1.11 xGA per 90. That is a solid defensive return, but it is not the profile of a team that has removed risk entirely.

The next league fixture at Liverpool on 11 October is therefore more than just an early headline match. It is the first major test of whether City’s five-match streak can become the kind of sustained run that history associates with champions.

Five wins from five puts Manchester City in the strongest possible position. It does not settle the title race. But another win at Anfield would make this start much harder to dismiss as an early-season surge.

Follow the Premier League title race, fixtures and team data on StatsLook

Sources: StatsLook Premier League historical data · StatsLook — Manchester City